FOX Bet’s Super 6 NFL contest is giving players a chance to win $100,000 if they can correctly pick six games on Sunday with the correct scoring margin. The matchups are as follows: Cowboys at Bengals, Cardinals at Giants, Vikings at Buccaneers, Chiefs at Dolphins, Titans at Jaguars and Saints at Eagles.
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There is a lot of uncertainty in these games: how healthy is Daniel Jones? What will Jalen Hurts bring to the table for the Eagles, or Tua Tagovailoa for the Dolphins? Will the Cowboys look competent? For that reason, we will focus on the Minnesota Vikings vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
There are a lot of known quantities here. We know Tom Brady has struggled against teams with good pass rushes, thanks to losses to the Saints, Bears and Rams. Fortunately for Tampa Bay, the Vikings rank 26th in the NFL in pressure rate (19.5 percent of dropbacks) and 23rd in sacks (21 on the season). Brady should have more time to operate this week than he has in recent games, and the offense should be able to put up points.
On the other side, the Vikings love to run the ball with Dalvin Cook: they are eighth in the league in rush attempts as a team and sixth in rushing yards. Unfortunately, Tampa has arguably the best run defense in the NFL: they are the number one rush defense by DVOA and allow the fewest rush yards per game. It should be tough sledding for Cook from the first snap of the game.
All this sets up nicely for Tampa Bay, which should win relatively easily. A blowout is possible, but Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has played well of late, and should be able to put up enough points to threaten a cover of the +6.5 line. Threaten – but not quite reach.
A touchdown victory seems about right – so your pick should be the Buccaneers to win the game by a margin of 7-9 points.
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